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Finance Committee Reviews Town Financial Reports - 28 May 26
Grimsby · May 30, 2026
Good evening everyone and I'd like to
call to order the meeting of our finance
committee meeting um on Thursday May
28th of 2026.
As is our usual practice, we'll start
with the land acknowledgement.
Grizzy is situated on treaty land. This
land is steeped in the rich history of
the first nations such as the
Hadawender, the Hodenosa and the Inisha,
including the Missosagas of the Credit
First Nation. There are many First
Nations, Matei, and Inuit people from
across Turtle Island that live and work
in Niagara today. The town of Grcy
stands with all indigenous people, past
and present, in promoting the wise
stewardship of the lands on which we
live.
The next item on our agenda is to ask
our committee members if there are any
disclosures of pecuniary or non-puniary
interest
and if so to please raise your hand and
declare.
I see none. So we will move on to the
approval of the agenda which has been
circulated earlier. Might I have a mover
and a seconder to approve the agenda?
Councelor How and member Scandinavo have
seconded. So resolved that the agenda
for the May 28th, 2026 finance committee
be approved. All in favor by a show of
hands, please.
And member
>> Yes, his name is
>> De Mayor. Thank you. So that is carried.
We also have the previous minutes with
us from April 23rd, 2026. If I could
have a mover and a secondary to receive
the previous meeting minutes.
you can still you are allowed to move
it. I asked that once and they said even
if we're not here, you're basically just
the clerk is responsible for the
completeness and accuracy of it and we
are allowed to to so move it. I I know
it's unusual, but that was how it was
explained to me. So, thank you. So, we
have councelor How and member Scandinavo
who have moved and second it. Um, so the
resolution on the floor is resolved that
the minutes of the April 23rd, 2026
Finance Committee be received. All in
favor by a show of hands, please. And
member Deare, thank you. That is
carried.
We do not have any delegations or
presentations this evening nor any
consent reports. But at the same time,
we also have the finance report 26-15
on our portfolio investments. And with
us is Mr. Nick Pulas, our investment
advisor with the CIBC. So, um, before we
formally ask you, go right ahead. You're
welcome to stand at the podium. I just
need to have a mover in a second to get
finance report 26-15
on our portfolio investments on the
floor for discussion. So
I'll ask member Deare, would you like to
move that?
>> I will definitely move.
>> Thank you. And member Scandinavo had his
hand up to second that. So with all of
those formalities out of the way, Mr.
Pulas, we're going to ask um you're here
to speak about the report. So, we'll ask
you to go right ahead.
>> That's excellent. And thank you again
for having me. It's uh been a couple
years since we've been back to have this
conversation and I I think it's safe to
say that a lot has happened uh in the
market over that 2-year period. Uh some
things have changed and some things uh
continue to evolve and kind of stay the
same as well too. So um so tonight
really the point of of the conversation
and you know kind of highlight for you
in this presentation is kind of a both a
macro overview of the Canadian economy
what's kind of happening internationally
as well uh which we know is obviously
very topical that's not just domestic
issues there's alo also other
international geopolitical issues at
play that are driving some local
pressures as well and then kind of just
touch on what we're seeing in the bond
market as a whole given the fact that
the majority of the investments
including you know 100% of investments
that are currently in custody, our fixed
income or or bonds in nature and thus
just kind of giving you an overview of
what we're seeing in that space and and
how things are positioned moving
forward. So, moving forward to the next
slide um and the next one after that.
So, again, just a really quick overview
of our team and I know I've been here
beforehand, but just for those that
maybe weren't privy to that
conversation. So our team at CBC Wood
Gunny provides fully customized
investment solutions to a variety of of
public sector institutions across
Ontario and parts of Western Canada as
well. Uh currently working with over 95
municipal clients nationwide uh
overseeing almost 4 and a.5 billion in
public assets. And so um we've been
working with the town now for about two
and a half three years. And uh during
that time frame, it's been, you know,
slowly but surely building out a a well
diversified portfolio and helping um the
town navigate um start moving money out
of being in cash and actually now being
invested uh in fixed income. Um so
moving forward in terms of our team, not
a whole lot's changed in that sense. Uh
we have made a couple new hires on the
team. It's really just kind of
strengthened the breath of the team to
support our clients. Uh Jake Cranham is
a a new a new hireer on our team that's
been with the team for a little over a
year now and uh another former colleague
of mine from CIBC Capital Markets where
we worked together years ago and uh a
bright addition to the team and someone
that's been closely working with a lot
of our our public sector clients as
well. So, so moving forward in terms of
kind of providing the town with a market
update, um it's safe to say that and
sorry, moving forward again, no, uh that
the Canadian economy is is currently
facing, you know, a variety of different
headwinds both, uh domestically and
internationally as well, or as we often
call them, the finance community, uh a
variety of different speed Trumps, not
speed, you know, to a certain extent
they're often uh originating south of
the border given the volatile policies
that tend to, you know, originate from
that portion of of of the continent. And
so, nevertheless, what we're seeing now
is it's not just, you know, it's
inflation, trade uncertainty, um, labor
and other, you know, local pressures
around growth. And now we have a new one
that's kind of popped up over the last
couple months or so which is really I
think for everyone here who you know
drove to work today or plans on driving
home afterwards has felt that initial
pressure in terms of elevated commodity
pricing and not just in terms of oil and
gas but other commodities around the
world uh fertilizer other kind of key
exports that originate in that portion
of the world and that make their way
globally and and what's happened as a as
a result. So kind of moving forward and
when we look at kind of how things are
kind of currently playing out in our
view I think you know the the immediate
reaction for a lot of people that are
kind of seeing things play out is um
this could be again this inflationary
shock that we're seeing in terms of imp
uh increased pricing pressures and kind
of how's this going to play out and
really to be quite honest no one knows
how it's going to play out. I think
every day you wake up and you see kind
of revised headlines about we're getting
closer to maybe a ceasefire or some type
of agreement coming into effect. Uh
nevertheless, when we look at how things
are playing out from our perspective, um
we don't view this as being a sustained
shock. We view it as being more of a
temporary uh increase in pricing
pressures, which hopefully shouldn't
threaten that long-term inflationary
range that the bank looks at. You know,
the Bank of Canada has a an inflationary
mandate, their mandate when they're
setting policies to ensure that
inflation stays as close as possible to
that 2% target. And so, you know, as a
matter of fact, you know, even last
month, so we received April CPI data
from the Bank of Canada and many were
expecting to have a headline number
north of 3% actually came in to sub
that, right? And some of the underlying
kind of core measures were showing that
we weren't seeing this spillover, you
know, just yet. Now, again, it's early
on in, you know, really this whole thing
kind of came about in in March and so
we're going to see how things kind of
play out. that when we fast forward and
we look at how we're expecting things to
play out, you know, that red line being
kind of our latest assumption on where
we're kind of assuming the price of oil
to be and what we expect, you know, we
may get an uptick of, you know, over 3%
for a month or two in the spring or
early summer, but then eventually we're
going to get back to more normalized
levels assuming we see a ceasefire, some
type of a longerterm agreement come to
fruition sooner rather than later.
Again, if things do persist, you would
see that kind of that upper line, that
gray line, which would mean that we get
to, you know, calendar year end and, you
know, oil is still kind of over $85 a
barrel. It could mean that we then have
some stickier price pressures and that
may require some attention from the Bank
of Canada, but at CIBC and from our
economics team, that's not the the House
view. Moving forward, please. Um and
when we you know we think of the Bank of
Canada and we think about you know what
they just recently encountered just a
couple years back right coming out of
COVID 2022 uh you saw a supply shock
that happened when you had the Russian
and Ukraine crisis that originated
overseas and that kind of was a you know
effectively the kind of a a final nail
in the coffin for which was already kind
of some inflating price pressures coming
out of COVID and then you know here we
were a couple years after the fact when
CO had come about and you saw some
elevated price pressures and so from the
Bank of Canada. We understand why, you
know, it's it's kind of an, you know, a
funny image here, but it it means that,
you know, they are fearful of these
supply shocks and what could happen if
they do persist for long or they don't
step in and actually take action. So
moving forward, um, you know, I think
when we got the monetary policy report
from the Bank of Canada in April, what
was really interesting, what the market
kind of really started to digest was
this language around if we started to
see things maybe not progress on the
trade front, it may be possible we see
maybe a cut or two to provide some
additional accommodation. But the line
that I highlighted in yellow is what
came in into that language in that April
document. And what was really
interesting here was them basically
affecting making note of the fact that
if they do see this situation persist
for longer, they may actually have to
step in. And they're talking about
consecutive increases to that overnight
policy rate if they see a sustained move
overseas and what that would do to in
terms of inflationary pressures around
oil pricing and whatnot. And so moving
forward, sorry, what the market kind of
digested when they saw that language
was, okay, let's see where we are right
now. That red line being that Bank of
Canada neutral estimate which is kind of
the midpoint of that range. So right now
we're at two and a quarter in that
overnight rate which is highlighted in
that gray line. The red line being the
neutral rate of 2 and 3/4 means we're
just we're slightly below neutral right
with neutral being that 2 and a/4 to 3
and a/4 range. Um that being that band
the neutral rate being the midpoint. So
we're about 2 and 3/4 is the neutral
rate. We're currently sitting at 2 and a
quarter. That would be viewed as being
accommodated polic policy. You know, if
you view the neutral rate as being the
rate of which the market isn't growing
or contracting, it's just kind of
existing. With us being at two and a
quarter, that's basically allowing the
economy to hopefully get, you know,
catch its breath and continue to, you
know, be a stimulative impact on the
economy by having rates slightly lower
than neutral. So, there definitely is
room to go higher if and when they need
to do so moving forward. But I think the
really important thing here, and we look
at what the market's currently pricing,
and again, this is live data. We're
getting live pricing from the Bank of
Canada in terms of what, you know, the
underlying kind of forecasts or
projections from the actual market
makers in the space that are actually
out there, you know, buying and selling
futures contracts in terms of interest
rates, what they're calling for. And
it's really going to be depending upon
how they see things playing out. But as
of right now, markets are actually
expecting for one hike from the Bank of
Canada by the end of this calendar year.
Um, but not quite a full hike from the
Federal Reserve in the US. So this is
going to be very dynamic information
that's going to be changing daily. We
have, you know, GDP data coming out
tomorrow, a very important data print
for the first quarter. And again, we'll
be kind of looking to see how things
kind of progress. But this would be kind
of a dynamic illustration of what the
market is expecting moving forward. And
as of right now, they're expecting the
Bank of Canada to hike rates by at least
125, you know, one quarter point by
between now and the end of the calendar
year. So moving forward, um, without
spoiling, you know, the ending and what
we're calling for, I can say that as of
right now, the way things currently
stand, CIBC economics is not calling for
a hike from the Bank of Canada. And
really, it has to do with with this
image here. And this is one of the key
data points that's driving that that
conclusion. And what we're looking at
now is this is underlying inflation in
Canada prior to the oil shock. And what
you can see going to the far right hand
side is that we're pretty close that 2%
target. And if we go back to where we
were in 2022 when you had the Russia
invasion of Ukraine, inflation was at a
much different spot, right? We were on
this upward trajectory where actually
the underlying basket of inflation over
the four core measures was actually
hovering in around four or 5% at the
time, not two. So we're starting at a
much lower point to where we were back
in 2022. And so from our perspective,
you know, we're hoping that as long as
we can get some type of closure on that
event in the next, you know, 3 to 6
months, that hopefully we don't see
something happen that we saw a couple
years back, but right now it's not the
base case. And really, it has to do with
where we're starting from a starting
point. It's a much lower average
compared to where we were when we saw
that other supply shock in 2022
moving forward. And labor as well was
another key driver because labor when
you think of the labor market when you
think of price pressures being elevated
where things really get that next step
and really have a chance to really
penetrate the economy much deeper is if
we can get those inflationary pressures
being passed along into wage increases.
And when we look at the labor market in
Canada it's much weaker right now from
again where we were back in 2022. So the
ability of the market to be taking those
increased price pressures and actually
parlay those into higher wages received
much much lower. It's a much weaker
labor market. And so again, the
combination of a lower starting point in
terms of core inflation and a much
weaker labor market has us right now
believing that as things stay kind of as
according to our base case, we're not
going to have to see the bank again step
in and actually increase rates given the
underlying pressures that we're seeing
moving forward. Um and again this is you
know looking at jobless rates both here
and south the border. Again you can see
the labor market in the US much stronger
than we have here locally. Um and even
last week we saw you know an uptick in
in in unemployment actually almost at 7%
now. We're at 6.9% in Canada on the
unemployment moving forward. And we're
looking at things in terms of that
breakout. We now saw for three
consecutive data points over the last 3
months negative you know full-time
employment growth. So, three consecutive
declines in terms of full-time
employment. This was that light blue bar
for March, February, and and and
January. And what we're seeing in terms
of that those data points now being
sorry, that was April, March, and and
February, my apologies, um being being
negative. So, again, we're looking at
the the labor market in Canada and the
underlying strength of it suggesting
that right now we're not that strong.
It's at least not as strong as we are
south of the border. moving forward.
Um, and again, we're looking at, you
know, productivity and passing on those
higher wages. Again, you know, coming
out of COVID, we actually were seeing
that where that that red bar was
actually higher in Canada than it was in
the US. Basically implying that that
average unit of labor cost and
compensation per hour in Canada was
actually increasing. Look at the last
past four quarters, which is that last
data segment for both the left hand side
and the right hand side. We're now
actually seeing higher labor growth,
higher labor costs in the US compared to
Canada. A lot of this has to do with,
you know, their AI adoption and the
increase in productivity and what we're
seeing south of the border. Uh, and
that's, you know, we're looking at
things here again putting that that lens
on saying that given the overall
strength of of the labor force in Canada
that there most likely should not be a
high instance likelihood of them
actually be able to pass along these
increased price pressures through to
higher wages based on what we're seeing
here. So moving forward
and when we look at household incomes
again that would make sense if we're not
seeing these higher wages ending up into
people's wallets. You're now seeing
household incomes weakening more in
Canada than they are in the US. And you
look at kind of when that that kind of
crux was, it was kind of the back end of
24 and early 25 where we started seeing
this divergence where our US
counterparts were continuing to see
their actual household incomes increase
whereas ours in real terms were actually
now seeing you know average you know
individual households now seeing that
household income actually now be
declining. So again speaking to the
underlying weakness now in the Canadian
consumer which is now going to flow
ultimately into into growth projections
as well too. So moving forward when we
look at
what's around the corn as well too and
trust me the bank of Canada is keeping a
close eye on this which is again this
wave of mortgage renewals that are still
upcoming. So you're looking at you know
households now having less spending
given you know lower wages not being
passed along. And what we're seeing as
well too is there's still a mountain of
mortgages still around the corner. So
those that were out there buying homes
in 21, you know, that was peak
residential, you know, housing in the
summer 21, you're coming out of COVID.
People are out there buying homes with
rates at basically next to nothing. They
still haven't had the opportunity to go
ahead and renew those mortgages yet. So
the bank, again, I know the bank can't
go out there and and one to one
influence a 5-year bond yield. That's
going to be driven more by the market
than the actual overnight target rate,
which they can control. But again, them
having influence on that short-term
portion of the bond yield curve, what
we're seeing here is they're fully well
aware of what's around the corner as
well, too. So, they have to again be
very cognizant that if they're going to
be increasing rates, it has to be a
sustained event overseas, which really
drives that inflation almost out of the
out of their, you know, out of their
ability to actually go ahead and control
it given where they at currently. So
they would actually have to step in
because of the fact that it's been
sustained for an elevated period of time
especially when we consider things like
this which are these upcoming upcoming
mortgage renewals around the corner. So
um moving forward sorry and then when we
look at excess supply in Canada versus
the excess demand in US output gap is
often a metric that's very commonly
used. What they're trying to do here is
we're looking at growth. You're looking
at kind of the ratio of actual
production versus potential production
from a GDP standpoint in in the local
economy. And what you're seeing here is
a positive number would mean that you're
actually producing more than what
underlying economists are projected was
possible versus a negative number mean
that you're actually producing less than
what they projected you were capable of.
And so what we're seeing in Canada is
this negative output gap or this ex this
excess slack. When you hear the Bank of
Canada or other kind of talking head
economists talking about excess lack in
the Canadian economy, they're referring
to this image here, which basically says
that the Canadian economy, the way it's
currently constructed, is actually
producing from a GDP standpoint less
than what it is actually projected to be
producing given the way that it's, I
guess, how optimized it would be or its
actual ability to actually go ahead and
and produce output. And a lot of that
may have to do with things south of the
border, tariffs, things of that nature.
But nevertheless, you can see that from
an infl and and so what you have to
think about here too from an
inflationary standpoint is it's a much
more positive higher inflation
environment if you're on the upside of
zero than if you're if you're in
negative territory. And so I think from
an inflationary standpoint, counterparts
south of the border, they definitely are
growing at a much higher rate, a much
healthier economy, but also have a much
higher risk of sustained inflation
versus what we're seeing in Canada,
which is the underbelly of the Canadian
economy just really isn't that strong
from a growth, from a labor, from an
outright inflation standpoint. So moving
forward,
you know, without getting too deep into
another one of these headwinds that we
had talked about around tariffs and
trade policy and whatnot, I think
whenever we have conversations with
economists, whether it be at C CIBC or
other kind of big five schedule one
financial institutions, you know,
they're often hesitant to really be
making, you know, really clear
projections on how they see this playing
out because whenever you talk to an
economist, they say it's hard to go
ahead and actually use, you know,
economic policy or or you know rational
thought process when looking at the
situation because really and truly it's
it's irrational. There's more of a
political underbelly to this decision
than it being true X's and O's from a
from an an economics point of view. And
so our our outright view at CIBC is that
again they view that this will be kind
of there'll be some some semblance of an
agreement struck sometime in the next 3
to 6 months and that it shouldn't carry
forward through to through the fall and
into the winter time and that we should
hopefully get some closure there on at
least removing some of that overlying
headline risk on what's going to be
transpiring south of the border around
tariffs and hopefully the situation does
not get worse. Our view is that it
doesn't get worse. If anything, it's
going to kind of be kind of where we are
now and may potentially extended to be
reviewed again in 2027. But there is
hopefully from our base case view is
that there should be no more downward
pressure on the Canadian economy from
additional tariffs or kind of a an
escalation from those tariffs. That's
our our house view is that things kind
of you know kind of remain as is or or
improve from where we are currently
right now. So uh moving forward it is
important though to kind of you know
look at how things have been playing out
and what we can see here is that you
know these sectors that been have that
have been exposed to specific tariffs
they have been underperforming and we
see that here. So that red line here
being exports exposed to sector specific
tariffs you know if you go back to where
we were this time or the spring of of
2025 when these things first came into
effect you're seeing that that downward
pressure versus other exports not
including energy doing a better job of
hanging in there. So obviously it is
having an impact on the on the economy
given what we're seeing on screen. So
moving forward um when we look at kind
of you know this this whole concept of
diversification of trade and looking for
other partners to try and you know to
part partner up with and and the carne
government's been going out there and
you know spending more time overseas in
Europe and other parts of the world to
try and deepen these these trade
relationships. What we can see here is
that there has been a year-over-year
decrease in in US exports and there has
been an increase to other countries and
moving forward we can kind of get an
idea where that is being allocated to um
sorry moving forward no my apologies um
you know looking at kind of percentage
share of where these exports are landing
again you're seeing a reduction south of
the border with an uptick to you know
Europe excluding the UK other parts of
you know the developed world as well too
China etc trying to diversify those
trade partnerships So again, whether it
be a leverage player, really just from a
diversification standpoint to have other
options, other avenues rather than
whatever is available to us south of the
border. So moving forward, um, when we
look at what we're calling for, and
again, I kind of hinted at it. We
weren't calling for an increase from the
Bank of Canada, this is an updated view
from our from our economists at CIBC as
of just earlier this week, as of May 20
May 26, 2026. They refreshed this house
view. I highlighted that top line
because when we look at, you know, what
the Bank of Canada can actually step in
and control. It's that overnight target
rate. They have a meeting coming up in a
couple weeks on June 10th. Uh our view
is that that's not going to be an event
that's going to be worthy of any real
consideration. They're not going to be
going ahead and increasing rates or
decreasing rates. Um right now they're
still very much in this data dependent
mode, waiting to see how things play out
overseas. Um and also, you know, there's
been ongoing dialogue south of the
border around tariffs. So again, we'll
see how things kind of play out. Looking
for more domestic data, how, you know,
what happens tomorrow when we get our
GDP print. How does inflation and and
labor continue to kind of play out?
Because I think from an inflation
standpoint, yeah, we saw one print in
April and it didn't show any sustained
pressure through that kind of larger
basket of goods and the headline stayed
sub 3%. Let's see how it persists for a
couple couple data points, right? I
think the Bank of Canada is going to
wait and see how things kind of play out
over, you know, a 3 or six month data
data period to kind of get a better idea
around any kind of sustained pressure
around inflation. But from our house
view at CIBC, it's Bank of Canada on
hold, letting things play out, letting,
you know, get to some type of closure
around tariffs, letting see some closure
around what's happening overseas and
basically sitting on their hands,
letting things play out because of that
underlying weakness in labor in the
underlying, you know, inflationary
basket being much more closer to 2% than
3%. Right around their target, uh,
looking at that output gap being
negative and the fact that the Canadian
economy right now, household incomes,
we're not really thriving right now.
there isn't really this this worry about
things overheating currently and so from
their perspective as of way things
currently stand there's no rush to the
table to be increasing rates so it's on
hold at 2 and a quarter for the for the
foreseeable future how that impacts the
town obviously you know cash that's
sitting in your bank account I would say
for the foreseeable future kind of
anchored in around kind of mid to high
2% and then potentially seeing that rate
uptick north of 3% as we see the Bank of
Canada increase rates kind of this time
and into the fall of next year. So
again, our view is that we do see a
couple increases, but not as quickly as
the market was expecting. The market
thought that maybe we'd see, you know, a
quarter point increase by the end of
this calendar year. House view at CIBC
is that that maybe it's a little bit too
aggressive. They're probably going to
push that out until at least this time
next year to get a greater sense of how
things are playing out. South the border
again on hold potentially going to
actually cut rates. So potentially
moving in a different direction where
we're actually increasing rates while
the US is actually going ahead and
cutting rates. Um, one thing to kind of
keep in mind, we've seen a big decrease
in our overnight target rate where the
US hasn't come all the way down. There's
there's a pretty broad gap in terms of
what we're seeing there. So, what we're
hoping to see is potentially seeing
those those short-term rates kind of get
a little bit closer together, which also
then potentially hopefully strengthen
the currency a little bit as well too.
That that interest rate differential
between short-term rates in the US,
short-term rates in Canada. As that
differential tightens in, you may see an
uptick in our currency as well too. And
that's what we're calling for as well
too. So currently sitting at around 138
or 72 cents currently right now. Um now
again keeping in mind what's happening
overseas. You know whenever you get
these geopolitical events happening you
get a rush to these safe haven
currencies like the US dollar. So that's
part of what's impacting that currency
currently. But you know we see things
playing out where we hopefully would see
the Canadian dollar strengthen up over
the next you know 12 to 18 months. And a
lot of it's going to be, you know,
getting some of this risk out of the
system as well as hopefully seeing um
the rate differential get a little bit
tighter in terms of us increasing rates
and them actually cutting rates. So
moving forward,
what we're seeing in terms of the bond
market now. So I guess it's kind of
interesting, you know, very interesting,
you know, way it's playing out right now
is when you think about bonds, you think
of how they traditionally perform in
these kind of riskoff type events,
right, which is what we're having right
now. We see kind of a war breaking out
overseas. Um there typically is this
fight to quality, fight to safety where
people are out there rushing to buy
bonds or selling stocks, buying bonds
because, you know, the world's blowing
up and they want safety of a of a high
quality fixed income investment uh
versus, you know, a a higher risk equity
investment. But that's not what we're
seeing here. And what we're seeing here
actually now is, you know, this
inflation push that the market is
basically baking into the market now is
is actually winning out. And so that
safety rally that you typically see
where bond yields move lower when people
are out there rushing to buy bonds in a
riskoff event because of the nature of
the event being centered around
commodity pricing and oil and whatnot.
You're actually seeing the opposite
happen. And we've seen the yields
actually increase now. So we're talking
about kind of 5 10 year and longer bond
yields actually increasing because of
this massive inflationary tax. the
market starting to bake into the market
because of what we're seeing in terms
of, you know, potentially sustained
pressures in terms of oil and gas and
other commodities being elevated if this
thing persists for longer. And so, uh,
moving forward, what we're seeing in
terms of other types of the bond market
here, when we look at the actual
corporate bond market, we're looking at
credit spread, which is so when we think
about rates and we talk about rates and
how they're moving, it's often the
government of Canada benchmark bond
yield. You know, how what does a 10-year
government of Canada bond yield look
like? But when we're out there buying
bank bonds, as an example for the town,
for other kind of municipal accounts
that are looking to buy these types of
investments, there's an all there's also
a credit spread component to that
purchase. So when you buy a 10-year bank
bond, it's going to be that yield that
you receive is is is indicative of the
underlying benchmark bond. We're 10
where 10-year Canada yields trading. And
then there's something called a credit
premium or credit spread up and above
that. So that additional yield that you
receive by buying a Scotia Bank or CIBC
bond versus buying a Government of
Canada bond, that's known as credit
spread. And typically speaking, when we
see, you know, equity market weakness or
other types of, you know, increased
volatility in the market, that premium
or that additional risk that you want to
receive, you're buying, you know, a bank
bond versus buying a government of
Canada bond that increases that
typically translates into increased
yield. And so what we're seeing there,
that illustration on the bottom is is
that exact, you know, credit spread
premium mapped out over kind of the
last, you know, let's call it 6 months
or so where what we saw here was, you
know, that credit premium increase. As
the as the equity market sold off, that
credit premium increased, but then what
we saw is in around March 20th when the
market kind of bottomed out, we saw that
credit premium tighten back in and get a
little bit smaller. All right? And so
what we're seeing now is the credit
spreads on these bonds. They didn't blow
out. They spiked for a little bit, but
they kind of have mirrored that move
alongside the TSX. So if you look at how
the TSX has performed since it bottomed
out on March 20th, it's about up about
10%. Over between then and where we are
currently right now. And so that move in
corporate credit spreads has kind of
mirrored that move. And so we like
looking at that. And we always say that
the bond market is the super deep, very
sophisticated market. Um that there
aren't really a ton of retail or
individuals in there buying bonds. They
may be buying stocks, but they're often
buying bonds. People that are buying
these bonds or large institutional
investors buying bonds like the town,
other, you know, large pensions, etc.
And so what we're seeing here is they're
not worried. They think that whatever's
happening overseas right now, yeah,
there may be a little bit of sustained
pressure in terms of inflation. But when
it comes to the actual credit quality of
the banks of these like high quality AA
credits, they're not concerned
whatsoever. There's a little bit of
credit premium that happened there, but
you've seen that move now mirror the
equity market and they're back down to
where we were pre this Iranian crisis
happening, you know, before it had taken
part, you know, in in February and
March. And so, um, I think from our
perspective, that's always nice to see
that the that the bond market is
reassuring what we're seeing in the
equity market. equity market's doing
well and that bond market in terms of
the additional credit spread is also
mirroring that move from a risk
tolerance standpoint as well too. Uh the
banks have all had earnings this week
all came out with really strong earnings
as well too. So from our perspective you
know I guess I know that's rearward
looking and we're looking at how that
things kind of play out over time but
from our perspective right now from a
credit standpoint things look really
healthy right now. So uh moving forward
um just kind of some summary takeaways
to kind of summarize the discussion
here. So from our perspective right now,
we're not expecting a change from the
Bank of Canada. Um right now, even
though the the irony is when you look at
things right now, you know, if it wasn't
for what's happening overseas, the
underbelly of the Canadian economy is
actually weak enough right now that
could actually probably afford a cut,
not a hike, a cut, right? Given you look
at how, you know, the consumer is
performing, how labor is performing, how
what CPI is performing in terms of it
being really, really close to that 2%
target. If it wasn't for what was
happening overseas, we may actually be
talking about cuts in the bank, not
actually hikes. That being said, our
view is that as long as things kind of
play out according to our base case,
which is the Iranian conflict is
resolved within the next 3 to 6 months,
as well as a go ahead and seeing the
tariffs and and all the Trump
negotiations around trade kind of, you
know, resolving as well too. Our view is
that should hopefully give the bank
comfort to actually start increasing
rates in 2027. But again, the caveat
being that we don't see some downward
pressure in terms of the the situation
overseas persisting for longer andor,
you know, trade talks moving sideways or
maybe not even, you know, moving forward
whatsoever. So, so that kind of gives
you a rough idea what we're what we're
looking for right now and how things are
currently playing out. Again, knowing
that things are very fluid, uh, they're
often very volatile. You know, I
apologize for not giving the the the the
uh the PowerPoint ahead of time. I think
uh given how things are rapidly changing
daily, I think I want to make sure that
we had something as as current as
possible for you to go ahead and digest.
And so um with that, I'll open up for
any questions that you may have. So
>> thank you. Um I will open it up for any
questions from the committee members.
>> I have some questions.
>> Go ahead. Member Deare.
So in the sense that uh I wonder how
much in our investment securities uh we
have in in in uh in US stocks or
Canadian stocks
uh because I understand the interest on
bonds really good presentation I
understand that that's fine and most of
the portfolios is in the bond market but
the question is how much is in equities
is there is an equity component here and
how much of it is Canadian equities
versus US equities
member demare I think we'll first refer
you to appendix B would that be
appendix B which does show our holdings
but excluding the one fund is that
correct and and I'll refer this over to
um to Tony go ahead
>> yeah through the chair uh if you look
yeah appendix B it shows our holdings as
of the end of 2025 you'll see there
about halfway down the page age the one
investment equity portfolio uh that's
the extent of our equity investments and
that relates uh to a Canadian uh
Canadian equities uh under our current
policy the way it's structured uh that's
that's we we we can't um invest in
international equities uh Canadian only
so it's about a
uh 5 to 10% of the overall portfolio
Okay, that's that clarifies that it's
strictly Canadian. It's not US equities.
That's thanks for that. The other
question is is the effects we talked
about the uh effects of the uh war in
Iran and and geopolitical issues in
Europe. But is there any expectation to
have fluctuation in the bond market from
the midterms in USA where the
Republicans lose control of the House
and the Senate and then a lot of changes
occur because of that and of course
it'll affect us and of course Canada
will get that affect that as well. So
there's any any thoughts of that in in
your prognosis uh in the next uh 12
months?
Um, excellent question. Sorry, through
the chair. That's an excellent question.
Um, definitely a risk event that we're
considering as well too that we're that
we're looking at right now. Um, in terms
of how we see it playing out in the bond
market, potentially not a significant
market moving event. We actually don't
have 10-year candidas really moving
materially higher or lower from where
we're currently sitting at right now.
So, uh, we've actually already seen such
a, you know, a pretty significant uptick
in yields that from our perspective here
right now, we don't see we see things
relatively well anchored where they are
currently right now and and that we
don't see a material move. Um, from the
town's perspective, the bulk of the
securities that that are are invested
are are relatively shortdated securities
with very little interest rate risk
attached to them. So, um, again, uh,
from our view, we're not worried about
that. if there were opportunities like
from our perspective right now when
we're looking at duration and taking on
duration and having conversations with
the town and with administration. you
know, we're supportive that if if we see
situations happening like that where we
see an uptick in duration um that
doesn't coincide with an increase in the
overnight target rate, what I mean by
that is the actual steepness of the
yield curve, those could be some really
attractive opportunities for the town to
go ahead and and actually term out from
a cash position which is currently
earning, you know, sub 3% and
potentially locking in, you know, really
high quality investments where there's
no, you know, consideration around the
impairment of the capital. um you may
have this ride out some near-term
volatility but potentially you know
being able to go ahead and secure some
really attractive all-in yields at you
know 150 200 basis points higher than
what they're earning in cash which I
think would be you know if that we did
see that opportunity I think assuming it
makes sense from a liquidity standpoint
those would be opportunities we'd be
looking to take advantage of and
monetize if it made sense to do so
>> and if I could just ask an addendum to
your answer then so when we look at the
portfolio
Um, we had a couple that matured early
in 2026 in February, March, and April,
some $10 million, which I assume you
have invested already for us. Um, one,
do you, and sorry to put you on the spot
with so much detail, but do you know,
um, what the maturity dates were on the
B on the bonds that you then went into
and invested that 10 million with?
Yeah. So, um some of those um
redemptions were were for cash flow
purposes with the Peach King Center
expenses coming up and we had yet to
issue the debt. So, uh they weren't um
all re they weren't reinvested.
>> Thank you. Um member Deare, did you have
any more questions? Um before I'll
recognize member Scandinavo.
>> Any further questions? Uh, no. Thanks. I
have none.
>> Okay. Thank you, member Scandinava. Go
ahead.
>> Thanks. Uh,
I had a couple questions. So, in in the
report here, and excuse me if uh if if I
shouldn't be asking questions about the
report just yet.
>> I I think we were just going to finish
asking questions of our investment
advisor and then move into it. Unless
some are related to returns. So,
>> yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It's related to it is
related to returns. So it's I I guess
can we maybe elaborate a little bit on
um you know the the rules uh governing
the investments in Ontario? So
regulation 43897 in our town's
investment policy. Maybe just like a 30
second synopsis on on on you know the
rules governing that.
>> Yeah, happy to answer that question. So
um effectively speaking what we're
looking at here in terms of the pool of
available resources or available
investments for you to consider outside
of what you know what treasure del
Monaco had highlighted around one
investment and actually owning kind of
pure play Canadian equities via kind of
effectively a mutual fund type option
when it comes to working with an
investment advisor like myself and the
types of investments we can consider.
They're effectively double A low rated
bank bonds or provincial bonds or
municipal issued bonds or other
federally issued bonds as well. So
you're looking at effectively fixed
income credit. So um what that means
effectively is you know we have an an
inability to even go out there and buy
you know other tripleb rated corporates
for example you know belt Canada telis
things that are interesting names that
you maybe want to own the stock but we
are able unable to buy the bond because
of not only the actual investment policy
that was drafted by the town but even
just overarching legislation and what
you're able to go ahead and consider for
investment. So I would say it's a very
restrictive, you know, pool of
investments. You're looking at super
high quality and I think the reason why
is when you look at kind of underlying
investment principles. It's really
safety and liquidity being paramount and
then whatever additional yield can you
can earn up and above that, that's often
kind of third in terms of that overall
hierarchy for most of our clients,
right? really when they look at
investing money, it's earning a a
healthy spread up and above what they'd
be earning by effectively doing nothing,
which is having that money sitting in
cash and earning, you know, a couple
hundred basis points, right? So, it's
trying to ladder things out, but really
from an investment style, it's it's
really restrictive in terms of the type
of options we can consider. So,
>> yeah. So, follow on question to that. Is
the restriction just the Ontario
regulation or how much more restrictive
is our town policy uh in addition to the
Ontario legislation?
>> So I can comment on that. I So the
policy I think was updated I believe was
it 2022 is when it was updated recently.
So there was an amendment to the
municipal act which was that legislation
you're referring to 430 43897 I think
back in 201819. Uh, and with that, they
actually did go ahead and and lower the
minimum rating restriction from double A
low down to ALO, which would give you
potentially the ability to go ahead and
consider some other types of
investments. That being said, it's not a
material increase. So, you going ahead
from looking at a double A rated bond to
an A rated bond, you're talking about an
additional maybe 20 or 30 basis points
on a similar tenor issued. So, a 5-year
double A rated bond is X. An A-rated AA
bond or an A-rated bank bond would yield
about 20 or 30 basis points more. So,
it's not a material uptick. And so,
really, they did it in broaden the the
the investment set. It did. Um, that
legislation wasn't fully incorporated in
the town's policy. We've had
conversations and and about potentially
looking at adding that and actually
broadening the the horizon, but really
in terms of materially, you know,
increasing the overall return in the
portfolio, it wouldn't really have a
material uptick in terms of the
performance.
>> Sorry, one more follow- on question. So,
what's the allowance for equities? Is it
it can't be zero because we we own this
one investment I think it's called.
>> Yes.
>> So there there outside of this one
investment are is there an allowance for
equities at all.
>> Yeah I can address that. Um not there is
there is an option uh but it would
require some other
basically there's two kind of
overarching paths that Ontario
municipalities can pursue in terms of
investing. you know, money not
immediately required. There's the the
legal list, which is what the town is
currently under. And there's also
something called the prudent investor
regime, which is a much more broader
list of investments that could be
considered. Um, under the legal list,
there is no minimum amount you can
invest in. I think often it's within the
risk tolerance of the municipality,
right? We have some clients that we
either are working with or that we've
had conversations with that have a much
higher allocation to equities. But if
they're going to be buying equities
through the legal list, you know,
legislative channel, which the town is
currently in, the only option to go
ahead and do that would be through one
investment. So, you would not be able to
go ahead and buy equities through
someone like myself under the legal list
option. Um there could be options
through Prudin, but that's a much deeper
conversation that I think would warrant
a much more serious conversation for the
town. So
>> yeah, sorry. Um eventually I'm getting
somewhere with this. Um I guess the
reason why I ask is that
you know again if you just compare the
the the basic TSX return last year was
like 24 25%. I wrote it down somewhere.
um actually might even been higher 28,
right? Of course, we're not going to put
a 100% of our investments in equities.
That'd be foolish because we, you know,
we use it for cash flow and it needs to
be there in times of emergency. But, um,
our rate of return was four, right? Just
wondering if there's perhaps an
opportunity to consider
um
relooking at the IPS provided
legislation allows it to broaden the
ability to buy equities to simply you
know earn you know to your point earlier
yeah it's sitting in bonds which is
great it's earning just a little more
than inflation right so it's not sitting
there making nothing and and you know
being worth less it's not just keeping
up with inflation, it's earning a bit
more. But if there's an opportunity to
have it in a portion of the portfolio
and something, you know, um that has the
ability to grow a bit lower, I mean grow
a bit more, I should say, it has the
ability to then, you know, effectively
lower the tax rate in in in years where
investments are are are good or be put
into reserves for for other things. So
anyways, I think what I'm understanding
is that
there is the opportunity from a
legislative standpoint to potentially
uh expand our portfolio to include more
inequities, but that would require a
thoughtful conversation with council to
open and amend the investment policy
statement. Okay, sorry that was a long
path to a simple question, but thank
you.
>> And I think just to add to that too and
and you know, Treasure Del Monaco had
highlighted, I think, you know, the
sensitivity from a liquidity standpoint
around the PKC renovation and the and
the construction project there. And then
I think just the heightened need to make
sure that the portfolio was as liquid as
possible, I think, you know, would also
kind of guide those conversations as
well just in terms of how that money was
deployed. Um, and I think, you know,
it's we always say to clients, you know,
it hindsight's perfect, right? To look
back, I wish I put all my investments in
equity and like it's been a phenomenal
run, right? But even over long-term
historical averages, if you look at more
seven to eight high single digits, I
think the likelihood of us seeing these,
you know, medium to low double digit
returns, hey, could it happen? I if I
came into last year after the midst of
everything that was happening south of
the border and said, "Hey, we're going
to fast forward a year from now and
markets up almost 30%." I would have got
laughed out of the room. What are you
talking about? The tariffs? someone's
happening locally like there's no way.
So I I totally understand what you're
saying and I think for a lot of times
with clients the conversation that that
we have always stems around there's
always going to be the ability to take
risk. It's your willingness and that's
the willingness of council, the
willingness of administration, the
willingness of your own liquidity
profile and you know the long-term cash
flow forecasting, you know, the
abilities of the town to have a clear
picture when those dollars are needed.
We typically say that when we're buying
stocks, you got to be willing to kind of
ride through those waves and be invested
for 5 to seven years to really fully
ride those waves, right? Because it's
not always going to be like this.
There's going to be times where it's
here and maybe it stays there for a
little bit and then it comes back. So, I
think it's that time horizon, the
ability to kind of hold it and have a
time horizon that is going to hopefully
mirror that time horizon of being
invested in equities, right? And um I
think it makes a ton of sense. I know
we've had conversations and and I and I
applaud, you know, administration for
even dipping their toe in the water and
actually adding it to the portfolio,
right? It wasn't that long ago when
things are invested pretty much fully in
cash and maybe the occasional GIC. So, I
always say, you know, we walk before we
run and I think, you know, I applaud
staff for at least taking that step and
and and and exposing the town to those
returns and thankfully you're invested
for a good portion of it while things
are moving higher over the last year,
right? So, that's that's a good first
step in my opinion. So,
So I I think one sort of last follow- on
comment would be like I sit on a few
investment committees and ultimately the
um the division of risk tolerance is b
is based on the u the uh I guess the
forward-looking outlook need of that
cash right you split it up into you know
layman's terms a short-term portfolio
and a long-term portfolio right you know
do you plan on spending the money in the
next 5 years if the answer is no then
you know um your risk tolerance has the
ability to be a bit higher sorry maybe
longer than 5 years if you plan on
leaving something in there for 10 years,
I think your risk tolerance is a little
higher and you can also ride those waves
and you know over the course of 10 years
you start seeing some of those 7 8 9%
gains year-over-year right uh which this
is all in the benefit of the public
right to you know contribute more to
reserves to to you know to potentially
reduce tax rates but anyways long story
short um I think all I'm saying is that
perhaps if there's an ability if there's
an ability at one point in time to look
at the I the the internal IPS and see
what the uh council's uh outlook is on
on some higher risk tolerances.
>> Thank you. Any other questions from
committee members? Go ahead, councelor
H.
>> If I can. Um, sure.
I guess I'm surprised
that you're looking, you know, crystal
balling, you know, 3 to 6 months until
there's some relief on this oil
situation. Am I correct?
>> I I think I think the view is that by
the end of the summer, we're in a good
spot. Um,
but again, no one has a crystal ball
there, right? But that I think that's
what we're I'm saying 3 to 6 months
maybe around tariff news and what's
happening south of the border. Basically
hopefully saying that maybe by end of
the year we've kind of worked our way
through what's happening overseas and
what's happening south of the border and
hopefully getting to the end of the year
with hopefully some relief from some of
those tensions um and some of those
headwinds. Um that's our view. Again
we'll see how things play out. You know
very well we could wake up on Monday
morning come in. I I find this typically
happens. you go away for the weekend,
you wake up, there's a tweet over on a
on a Saturday or Sunday that things are
progressing and the market, you know,
has factor that in when you when you
come in to work on the Monday morning,
right? So, I think it's a very fluid
conversation. As a matter of fact, I
think even on the way in, I think I
heard something that there may have been
a ceasefire, you know, agreed upon even
on the way in driving from Burlington,
right? So, um I think it's very very
much a fluid situation. Um, but I think
when we look at how the market's
responding, the market's basically
saying, you know, if you look at that
10% run up in equities from that March
20th low, they're basically saying that
this is in the rearview mirror. The the
market is effectively saying that they
don't think this is going to be
something that's going to be persisting
for longer. And you're seeing that in
credit spreads and other kind of risky
assets that would be reflective of this
longer term risk. They're basically
blowing it off saying we think we're
going to be okay here and that we have a
rough idea that there's going to be an
end point in the near future and that
we're not going to see elevated oil for
long and that there shouldn't see the
sustained inflation price pressures
lasting for, you know, extended price
points, right? So, in terms of monthly
data points, so but again, you wouldn't
be the first to say that maybe that
there is outside tail risk where this
could go on for longer. What does that
look like? Right? If I can just and I'm
kind of tying it into the Ukrainian
situation that you know here we we've
got oil. It's just a commodity but then
we've got the human side of it that it
just kind of keeps chugging along,
doesn't it? That it people are have
become cold to it.
But does that help us long term as an
investor? you know, you know, if we're
going to have a conversation about um
increasing the the risk factor and
taking a look at it and
I think we did
anyways. Um but I guess I'm just
surprised how they they it kind of works
out on the market. Used to be able to
guess a little bit but can't guess now.
Again, when when it comes to increasing
allocation to equities, I'm a firm
believer and it just really like like uh
member Scandinav said, it really comes
down to that time horizon conversation,
right? And I think history says that
whether it be through com crisis, global
financial crisis, co you name it. if
you're able to give yourself, you know,
7 to 10 years to sit there and hang
around and let things kind of play out
more often than not. And again, there's
no there's nothing to say that history
will kind of be what we've seen moving
forward, but that's usually been a
pretty good indicator of if you have
that long enough time horizon that
things do tend to work in your favor.
And I think for a lot of municipalities,
I think where things get challenging and
and being quite candid is, you know,
there's an election coming up in the
fall and there's change in leadership
and things and and capital spend changes
and things naturally happen. I think
that from working with, you know,
municipalities for a number of years, I
think that's always been the main hurdle
for a lot of our administrative staff
that we work really closely with is
things are always changing. They're
always evolving. And so, right now, it
makes sense to go out there and be
investing money for 10 years. Then all
of a sudden, you know, there's a change
in leadership and maybe capital spending
change and other things change and all
of a sudden now it becomes a a more of a
challenging conversation. That's why I
think if you're going to do it, you do
kind of what you did here, which is you
walk before you run. It starts at five
or 10 percent and then as things change
and risk tolerance improves and you get
a clear picture on spending longer term.
Then you wake up in five or 10 years and
maybe that percentage has increased to a
more healthy meaning meaningful amount
where you are now seeing you know mid to
high singledigit returns because you do
have you know a portion invested in
other riskier assets right but you know
I always say things weren't built in a
day and I and I I like I said I really
do I applaud administration for taking
that first step because it you know it
wasn't easy when they were in there
adding to that portfolio it wasn't when
things were on their way up they're
often when they're on their way down you
have to kind of hang tight for a bit
right so um yeah that that would be my
thought on that. So, it's looking
through these short-term tailwinds or
sorry, headwinds and and looking at, you
know, longerterm time horizon and really
making sure that it lines up from that
standpoint. So,
>> yeah,
>> thanks.
How can you turn your mic off?
>> Thank you.
>> Question
member Deare, go ahead.
So, uh, I think I've got some experience
with the Ontario Mutuals, uh, who have
surpluses similar to what mun
municipalities have and, uh, they were
locked into doing bonds and not getting
into big involvements of of equities.
However, the cost kept rising in their
operations. So, they needed to find some
way to get some additional income. So
they approached the uh the province and
asked if they could add more uh more
equities to their their investments and
there was just this was causing a
constraint because oh we've always done
it this way. We've always had nothing
with bonds. So people some people said
no that's the way to go and other people
said no we need to to look at different
ways of having like like uh short-term
and long-term investments. So uh in a
sense they moved on it and the
legislation allowed them it changed to
to go into more and more equities and
over the last five years they've done
very well in uh is what you know the
income they're getting from equities
versus the slow amount small amount
they're getting from bonds. So it's
doable if you want to make a change and
I think the province would support that
as long as you're doing that. So that's
something that we can look at. So Scott
the question was what is the cost um
we're getting bonds most are at four or
5% return but what is the cost of that
investment advice that's what's your net
return so in the sense that some times
you're paying one 2%
uh on that so I don't know I'm sure with
this volume we have we're probably not
paying that we're probably paying a very
fraction of that so that's always a
concern as well is how much is going uh
off for the for the for the advice vice
we're getting which is don't make a
change. So I just wondered what is
actually our our cost um for the advice
uh that we're being given.
So yeah through the chair um it's uh
it's not like it's an assets under
management model. It's uh it's based on
uh it comes off as part of the
transaction cost at time of purchase.
Um, but I do know that some of that
information is is proprietary.
Uh, but uh I don't know if Nick wants to
elaborate any any further on that, but
>> yeah, I think and thanks to the chair
and thanks to uh the treasur delmon.
Yeah, some of that information would be
prop proprietary in terms of just kind
of overarching pricing, you know,
metrics and how we go ahead and and and
price our our portfolios from a pricing
standpoint, but I can say that it's
significantly less than the one or 2%
that you that you're referencing. and um
and that the fees or the the returns
that you would see highlighted in in the
portfolio in in the appendency that that
Treasur Del Monaco had highlighted they
would be you know net of of anything
that we would have received in terms of
compensation for for recommending and
and purchasing the investment on behalf
of the town. So,
>> thank you.
know what the gross would be then.
>> Sorry, could you just repeat that member
de Mayor?
>> Then then I know it's we would know what
the gross is because your net's showing
here. So we would we would know how much
it's costing us, but again that's
something we don't want to talk about in
a in a on camera discussion. So I
appreciate that. Um so we'll leave it
there on that.
Thanks.
>> Thank you member to Mayor. Um, I just
have a few questions if I could.
Um, one, do you envision any changes to
our bond portfolio as it is now
structured or are you feeling
comfortable that this is the position we
should be in going forward given the
forecasts here of, you know, projections
for government bonds and things like
that? Could you just um expand upon
that?
Um, you know, the town's very fortunate
that the bulk of the money that's
currently invested was deployed at much
higher yields than where we're currently
at right now. And so given that these
investments are all fully liquid
investments that have market prices to
move up and down as we've seen bond
yields move lower as the banks been
cutting rates over the last couple
years, there's, you know, there's been
unrealized gains or there are gains on a
fairly significant portion of the
portfolio that could potentially be
monetized and repositioned. I think from
our perspective right now it's you're
trying to be opportunistic. You're
looking for, you know, moments in time
where you see, you know, rates back up
and you see maybe inflationary
pressures. If you get a little bit of
sustained pressure from terms of
short-term inflation, you see rates
increase, potentially looking to take
advantage of that. Also looking at
potential, you know, opportunities if we
see credit spreads widened out, looking
for attractive opportunities there as
well, too. But I think whenever we make
recommendations, we always are very
cognizant of, you know, the town's
underlying liquidity needs as well too.
So you're not just, you know, investing
in a vacuum as per whatever is optimal
based on market condition. Really and
truly, it's, you know, the risk
tolerance and the liquidity needs of the
town kind of come first and foremost. So
it's having conversations with
administration on given liquidity, given
how things are currently situated, if
there's opportunities, here's kind of
what what we'd be looking at. But I
think from our perspective right now,
specifically because we're seeing an
upward sloping yield curve now. We go
back to where we were back in 2024, it
was like a flatter actually an inverted
yield curve where short-term rates are
actually yielding more than going out
the curve. So now that we see this
upward sloping yield curve, there could
be some attractive opportunities to go
ahead and you know take gains on some
bonds that are due in the next year or
two and realize those gains and
potentially go ahead and term out a
little bit and increase that rate of
change moving forward while also
crystallizing a gain on the existing
position. So from our perspective it's
it's more minor tweaking than an actual
outright regime change or strategy
change. So
>> thank you. which um does lead to
actually the second part of my question
which actually may be a question for Mr.
Del Monaco as much as anything. So um at
the council meeting the other night of
course we approved the issuance of a
debenture um for close to $20 million
there. Um the timing of that though
traditionally the region goes out to
issue their debentures in the fall. So
um I'm envisioning that we'll be
receiving the cash in the fall. Um,
and let me give you a little more
background to my thought process. So,
we're conceivably we issue a $20 million
debenture in the fall. We get the cash
from it. Then, um, it's meant to pay for
the Peach King Center, but I think by
then we will have paid all the bills for
the Peach King Center. So, really this
$20 million is going to come back in to
replace some bonds that we had to cash
in in order to pay the bills.
So given that very long background to
all of it, um what do we see
um
in terms of our cash flow needs and you
know what do we see in terms of
investments then come the fall time with
this $20 million?
Yeah, this is actually a perfect time to
reassess our cash flow needs and just
like um members was saying, you know, I
think that we're looking to project say
5 10 more years out that would be a
perfect opportunity to invest in
something a little more equity based. Um
and uh yeah, I mean just going back to
some other other thoughts that you had
there before was, you know, I think at
some point we're probably going to have
to look at whether it makes sense for us
to become a prudent investor
municipality. Nick did touch on that. uh
that would allow us to invest in
international equities which the
diversification of that is much more
beneficial than relying on just the
Canadian market which is a small
percentage of the global equity market.
You could you know you could have a
small market like Canada be you know in
a negative or or stagnant position for a
long time like you saw with Japan for
example like but if you have that
international diversification there's a
lot less chance of that. That's that's a
that's something that we have to really
give some thought to because once you
become a pre-investor you that that's it
we can't revert back and so but I think
that is something that is worth um that
is worth thinking about going forward
long term
>> and related to that because in order to
be able to do that and figure out what
our cash flow needs are and when
um I I will say that in my thinking it
comes full circle to the need for
multi-year budgeting then because really
what we're going to have to do is do
forecasting out not just of our capital
needs but also of our operating needs
because we're talking about cash flow
here and
and so I I not sure where my thoughts
are going with this but I guess I just
see a more um pressing need to get into
multi-year budgeting um because we are
sitting in the very fortunate position
of having investments and and a not an
extravagant amount but a good amount I
will say. Um and in order to be able to
effectively know what to do with it, we
really need to give some thought to
where we will be 5 to 10 years out then
um and operationally and capital-wise.
Could you just add your thoughts to
that?
>> Certainly. Yeah. No, that's that's a
good point. Um, I don't think it
necessarily has to depend on multi-year
budgeting though because we do have, you
know, our 10-year capital plan with our
has our expected projects out there. We
uh we can make assumptions as it relates
to our operating budget which should be
relatively stable from year to year. But
uh but it's a good point.
>> That's it for my questions. Any other
questions one last time from the
committee members?
No. Thank you very much for your
presentation this evening. Then um we've
taken up a considerable amount of your
time and and do thank you for coming out
this evening and spending it with us. If
the committee members have no further
questions and we already have had a
mover in a second or to put it on the
floor, I guess I'm just going to ask um
Mr. Del Monaco, if one last time, is
there anything from the report itself on
the portfolio investments that you want
to point out to the committee members?
And and Mr. Pulas, if you'd like to take
a seat, by all means, we won't force you
to stand there much longer. You've been
very kind standing there for almost an
hour answering all our questions. Thank
you.
No,
>> I think we covered it well. Um
the only thing I would mention is yeah
appendix A summarizes the holdings as of
the end of the year. Appendix B provides
a summary of the investments purchased
and redeemed. Um you'll see from the
report that interest related to the
obligatory reserves is credited back to
those reserves. Um that relates to
reserves like development charges the um
Canada community building fund building
department reserves. The remaining
interest is then puts towards our annual
operations to offset our expenses.
Thank you.
>> If there are no further questions, then
um the motion that is on the floor is
resolved that report finance 26-15
on the 2025 portfolio investments dated
May 28th, 2026 be received for
information. All in favor by a show of
hands, please. And member de Mayor
whose hand is up. Thank you very much.
That motion is carried. Then
if I could now move on to the next item
on our agenda and Mr. Pulas, thank you
so much. We you are more than welcome to
leave now. You don't have to uh sit
through the other parts of our meeting.
Thank you very much for coming out this
evening.
We're going to now move to um agenda
item 8.2, two, which is our finance
report 26-16
on our 2025 annual building permit fee
report. And I'll turn it over to you,
Mr. Del Monaco.
>> I do need a mover and seconder. Thank
you, clerk. Um, I see two hands up right
beside me. You may pick which one is the
mover and which one is the seconder.
Now, go ahead, Mr. Del Monaco.
>> Thank you.
Uh, this report is here for information.
It's a legislative requirement under the
building code act. Uh the building
department is a self-funded area. Their
fees are designed to cover their
expenses so that there's no impact on
the tax levy. The total fees collected
in the year were $830,915.
And there was also a budgeted transfer
in from reserves of $438,000
bringing total revenues for the building
department to 1.2 million.
Total expenses in the year were $887,163
leaving a surplus of $381,782.
Now, just to put that 381,000 surplus
into context, the 1.2 million in revenue
does include that 438,000 transfer from
the building department reserve. So,
without that reserve transfer in, the
building department would have actually
experienced a deficit rather than a
surplus in the year. And you'll see that
um in the building department reserve um
beginning and ending balance and
transactions that's in the report.
You'll see on the bottom of page two
there that the building department
reserve position declined slightly
during the year from 1.973 million to
1.936 million. Thank you.
And if I could add to that, when the
consultant came to speak to us about um
these particular this particular topic
when he came to council, I remember him
uh saying that
a reserve fund balance of about one and
a half times the annual operating costs
would be considered to be
our objective, I I'll say, or the range
that we should be in. Um, not that we
have any choices under the legislation
as to what we do with it, but um, just
as sort of guidance as we go forward.
Any questions from any of the committee
members on this?
>> Member Scandinava,
>> sorry, I I just had a like a slight
maybe presentation question or comment.
Uh, and in the appendix
the it it makes it seem like there's a
budget variance loss of 235,000
because there's that transfer
uh under general admin U five like that
that the code is 57950 transfers to
reserves which was unbudgeted. So it
makes it look like there's a big
negative variance. I do appreciate the
comment you made earlier saying that
there was a transfer in from reserves of
438,000
and then a transfer back to reserves of
381. So if there wasn't that transfer in
of 438 we would have experienced a loss
which I understand but that loss was the
tune of let's say 56,000. If you look at
that report it gives the the illusion
that they did worse. It gives the
illusion that they had a they had they
had expenses over um they had bud they
had actual expenses of 1.2 million over
budgeted expenses of 1 1.033 million. It
just paints a bit of a negative picture
but again that's just more semantics
than anything. The report itself is
great. I just trying to paint a better
picture that's all. Right.
And I think that happens because the
transfer from reserves is a revenue
item. So it's above then the transfers
out to the reserves is in the expendit
expenditure section. Um and I realize
that's probably how our reports print
out through our software. Um but if
yeah, you almost have to take those two
numbers out of there and show them at
the bottom and then you get really the
the same numbers as Mr. Del Monaco has
in his report. Um, councelor, how do I
see your hand up?
>> Uh, through you, chair. You know, and
every year we go through this and it's
the cycles. Understand? What if we had a
a a chart, you know, a 10-year chart,
just to see
the movement within that, you know, um
that the ins and outs and that it's not
an uncommon thing for this particular
fund or or this particular um fee, but
just just a chart just 10 years and see
it and takes weigh a lot of angst.
>> Oh,
>> could I just clarify? Are you referring
to the tenure related to the reserve
transactions or or for building
activity?
>> Just building
>> building activity. Okay. Yeah, we can
incorporate that into future reports
from history. Yeah.
And I imagine that you probably are
looking at that when you do the budget
that you're because of course the
biggest number in here is always
building permits and so um you know it's
not just the average of prior activity
but it's also what's in play now and
things like that. So it is um from my
perspective at least a a number of
building permit revenue that is kind of
hard to get your h hands under when
you're doing the budget because as you
can see here you know we expected under
the budget it would just be under
500,000 and surprise surprise it came in
at 727
uh 727,000 I'm saying u so it yeah I I
imagine that staff are looking at that
history and also So what's in play to be
able to budget for it? But that would be
really interesting even even the last
five years enough to capture I guess
some cyclical um because certainly the
building department and development
charges those two um I always say go
hand inand the development charges and
the revenue we collect from that goes up
first and then eventually it it morphs
into building permits and and the
revenue comes there right so it goes in
waves and and it would be interesting to
see those waves
If there are no further questions, then
the resolution on the floor is resolve
that report finance 26-16,
the 2025 annual building permit fee
report dated May 28th, 2026 be received
for information and that the 2025 annual
building permit fee report be made
publicly available on the town's website
and upon request in accordance with the
building code act. All those in favor by
show of hands, please.
>> Yes.
>> And member de Mayare has also confirmed
his vote and that is carried. Thank you.
And so talking about hand in hand, the
next report and the next item on our
agenda is finance report 26-17 on a
report on our 2025 development charge
reserve fund statements. If I could have
a mover and a seconder to put it on the
floor, please. That would be member
Scandinavo and then councelor How. I
turn the floor over to you, Mr. Del
Monaco.
>> Thank you. The development charges act
requires uh that this report be brought
annually. Um despite a downturn um in
the broader construction industry,
development charge collections in Grimby
were actually the highest that they've
been since 2022.
Um the beginning balance in the
development charge reserves was 8.5
million at the beginning of 2025.
We had inflows from collections and
interest income of 1.8 million and
outflows of 410,000
related to project funding and
development charge debt payments related
to fire station 2 which resulted in an
overall position of 10 million for our
development charge reserves as a whole.
Appendix A contains the activity details
for each development charge reserve and
appendix B contains further details on
reserve outflows including other funding
sources that may have been approved. But
for context, I do want to note that this
report reflects the current cash
balances in the development charge
reserves. It does not reflect approved
but as as yet unspent commitments
against the reserves. Thank you.
member Scandinavo, your hand is up. Go
ahead.
>> Thanks. Um, just out of curiosity on
appendix A, I believe it is, um, which
is the table that summarizes the total
in the reserve by um,
uh, by um,
I guess subtype, you know, how much is
in the fire protection services, how
much is in the storm drainage, how much
is in the wastewater, and so on and so
forth. who comes up with these
categories and who in in allocations
um and is there flexibility on that?
>> Thank you. Um through the chair. So uh
the development charge recoverable areas
are um determined by the development
charges act and then through the
development charge background study
process we review uh which areas fall
under the town's uh needs and um
and uh and those are and which projects
we have in their future that need to be
uh levied for as development charges.
Any questions from the other committee
members?
>> Member how do you want to put your mic
on, please?
>> No, I'm just kidding. You
I'm in trouble now, aren't I?
Um, but were you thinking some like with
the with titles or names or would it be
more understandable
cuz something tweaked it? So,
>> no, I like when looking at it obviously
like there's the basics, right? There's
highway related, there's fire protection
services, you know, very basic things
that you'd expect as development
expands, you're going to need more
wastewater services, more water
services, so on and so forth. But how
often do we look at this and see, you
know, as the population grows or changes
or has different needs, how often do we,
you know, um, perhaps
take from one category and add to
another category or create a whole new
category? Like how often is this sort of
looked at? Um I I don't see anything out
of the ordinary, but um some of the
ending balances do raise an eyebrow to
me as to as to why they're in in some of
the categories they're in. And again,
just a sheer curiosity, right? Like I
think um
again I'd imagine and u I'd imagine that
as you indicated earlier there's some
legislative need to have some of these
in of course but then there's probably
some flexibility on others and you know
just again uh why these categories and
why not others and I'm not suggesting we
add or remove categories tonight but how
often does the does this get looked at?
>> Yeah. Thank you. No, it's a it's a good
question. Um we um we do a development
charge background study about once every
5 years. We're in the process of doing
one currently. Uh and so that's the
opportunity to review the town's future
capital needs, what projects need to be
incorporated into the study, see what
impact that has on our development
charge rates. That would be the time to
see if there's a new category that we're
not collecting for. I don't think
there's anything that that would be
looked at as a new category that we
aren't already collecting for. Um but
yeah, that's that's the time to review.
And then further to your point about the
balances and the reserves, that's
actually factored into the calculation.
If say um we had so many projects going
forward in the last few years that
required that made a reserve go into a
negative balance that that could be that
negative balance gets taken into account
as okay well we got to get this back up
as as into the what's called the quantum
of the church.
>> Mr. Dr. Del Monaco, I'm going to ask you
um to walk this committee through
something that um didn't come up at
council, but um you and I talked about
it um outside of the council meeting,
and that was um and I'll ask you to
first start by um walking the committee
through the column called fire
protection services and then where it
says less capital debt payments um the
83,560
60 um just to explain how that comes
about. That's the first part that I'm
going to ask you to walk through. And
then the second part is the fact that we
have um um approved the debenture of
I'll say approximately 20 million of
which I believe 9 million is
specified to be from the development
charges. And in the this particular
case, now to piggyback on something
member Scandinavo said, when you look
under the column of community service,
there's there's only 1.6 million. So I I
think the fire station 2 is kind of um a
good historical example to walk us
through. And then if you could walk us
through um what will be taking place
going forward with the issuance of the
deenture and how it um hangs together
with our development charge accounts
here.
Yeah, certainly. Um, so yeah, if we take
a look at um at the appendix A, you'll
see for example the fire protection
services column. That's the second
column in. You'll see that it starts by
showing the the opening balance in that
reserve and then it it shows the inflows
in from the development charges
collected broken out by the type of
development, whether that's residential
or non-residential.
It then also shows the interest that was
um that was brought into that reserve,
in this case $10,000 for the year.
Uh oh, sorry. The interest was 30,000
for the year.
Uh but then you'll see the less the um
capital debt payments that the chair was
referring to of $83,000.
So that's the annual payment um related
to the debt that was issued for fire
station 2. That $83,000 is that's the
growth related component of the debt.
There's also a levy component of the
debt that is not funded through
development charges. that's paid for
through the tax base, but this is the
growth related component. Um, and so
that that then comes out of the reserve.
It's been coming out of the reserve for
83,000 each year.
Um, and then there were no uh fire
related capital projects that had to be
funded. And so when you add that all up,
you'll see that the the ending balance
in the reserve is at 738,000.
So as it relates to the Peach King
Center um project and the debt that will
be issued uh so that will be related to
the uh community services category which
is on the right hand side of the of the
table there you'll see that the opening
balance in that reserve was 1.1 million
and the ending balance was 1.6 million.
So, what's going to be happening once we
issue that that um that that debt that 9
million of growth related debt that uh
the chair referred to is the annual debt
payments for the next 30 years, they're
probably estimated to be about 500,000
or so would be coming out of that
community service reserve. So, just like
the 83,000 in debt for the fire station
was coming out, that 500,000 will be
coming out of that community service
reserve.
And like I mentioned earlier, if that
causes the reserve to go into a negative
balance that is actually allowed under
the development charge act, we can
continue to do that. That then becomes a
factor in each subsequent development
charge bylaw that gets updated every 5
years to um so that we are recovering
from future growth uh the required
amount to be able to to pay off that
that debt and other community service
related growth projects. Does that
answer your question?
>> It does. Does that help the committee
member sort of to understand the use of
it as well? Um, I'll I'll just add on to
that because of course um when Mr.
Delmato and I were talking about this, I
said there's probably three forks in the
road that are ahead of us. Um, the one
fork in the road. The first one is that
um, you know, imagine a scenario and I'm
not saying these are I'm not grading the
probability. I'm just explaining there
are forks in the road that we recover or
that we get no development charges in
the next while. Well, with 500,000
coming out of this account in about 3
years plus, this account would be drawn
down to zero and then conceivably would
go negative, which of course um we don't
really want to have happen. Um,
scenario two is that we collect enough
as we go along and we continue to
replenish this account. And then
scenario three is the one that I I call,
you know, we collect bucket loads of
development charges, you know, just, you
know, tractor trailers full of this and
it totally replenishes this plus plus
plus. Um and inevitably we will probably
be at that second fork in the road. But
as the town develops out more and more
and as we have um as we go into
intensification much more so than just
broad-based you know development of
vacant land um that's the only way
inevitably we are going to finally be
able to still collect development
charges to pay for some of these things.
And I guess in an absolute worst case
scenario, which I guess was fork number
one, door number one, um, you know, at
some point in time, bills have to be
paid and it conceivably could switch
over to be to being a tax funded,
taxpayer funded um, commitment. But we
will hope we never have that scenario
and that we're in scenario or door
number two and three.
Um are there any further questions from
committee members about this report on
the development charges?
>> I have one.
>> Go ahead. Member de Mayor.
>> Uh I was looking at on the report uh
presented um it was talking about where
this report goes and it goes to council
of course and it's also available to the
public but it's also going to the
minister of municipal affairs and
housing upon request. So the question is
they request I assume so they have they
ever requested it and if so did we send
it and what did they do about it just
filed it or did they come back to us
with anything?
>> So thank you through the chair. So they
have not requested it. Um if they were
then we would provide them uh with the
report or access to find the report on
our website.
I think the other thing to share with
all the members is that once our audit
is complete, um staff have to complete
what's called a financial information uh
return and that actually is in a very
prescribed format and they upload those
numbers directly onto the Ministry of
Municipal Affairs and Housing website
and that includes flowth through
analyses of our development charges and
things like that. So I will say they may
not be formally requesting our this
particular report but in the end they
will get a very detailed analysis um
through this FIR system of exactly what
the transactions are in and out and
where we stand in all of this anyway.
So, so they do um it is prescribed all
municipalities in Ontario have to submit
their data into a specific website for
the Ministry of Municipal Affairs and um
and then it's up to them what they do
with that information.
>> Question is, have they have they done
anything with it, you know, in the past?
We've never heard from them. They've got
the data. It's it's being collected. I
assume they're doing some data mining on
that, but we've never heard from them
and just or other municipalities have
not heard from them either. So, it's
just going into their data management
and they're not saying anything. So, but
just interesting if there was any
response or what their plans were with
that data.
I can go back years and years and years
and tell you that um after they were
submitted um they used to send questions
to the various municipalities. There
used to be questions that would come to
um the treasurer and his staff uh
questions about the FIRS. Um I don't
know Tony, do you have any more current
experience to have you ever had any
questions from the ministry?
Yeah, I'd say not not directly, but um
you know there have been different
changes to the development charges
legislation over the past few years. So
um I would hope they would take
municipal numbers into account when
making those decisions. Um but um uh you
Angela may have some additional comments
to that if if if uh if she has um
experienced any of that before I
arrived.
>> Angela, did you want to chime in?
>> Sure. Uh thank you through you, the
chair. Um historically we've just
received inquiries re through the
ministry regarding certain um categories
that we may have marked and just want
looking for clarification or if there
wasn't necessarily a tiein. We've never
had any specific questions regarding
reserves or the reserve funds or
clarification on the spend.
>> Thank you Angela.
I do hear you member de Mayare in that
um we do hope the ministry is looking at
the aggregate of all the information
that they're looking at the
municipalities individually and and sort
of assessing the financial health of the
municipalities but uh we have no further
insights I think to share with you on
that one
>> I I wonder if if the region is also has
access because you know they're looking
at all the uh municipalities at lower
lower level municipalities
and seeing how they're doing because
obviously it's your concern because it
setting the tax rates, right? So, do we
know if the region has access to this or
they go to the to the uh the uh
government to get that information or
maybe they don't go through it?
>> I can tell you member to mayor that the
financial information return is on a
very publicly accessible website of the
Ministry of Municipal Affairs. If you
type in municipal financial information
returns, you will find them for all the
municipalities of Ontario going back
years. And there are a lot of schedules
in that. So, um please um please be
aware of that when you go into it. But
that information is totally publicly
available to each and every one of us
and whoever chooses to lo to um access
that part of it. and and in our
particular case, I think um in Tony and
Angela's case, they probably have
special passwords and things like that
to be able to um input that data into
it, but for the public our ourselves,
you know, we're on a read readonly
basis, but you can see all of that
information on a very public website.
>> And that website was getting misspelled.
What was it called again?
>> I'm going to say it's the financial
information return is what you're typing
in. Um perhaps u Mr. Del Monaco or our
deputy treasurer can can find the exact
website and send it out to us in an
email or something like that.
>> That'd be good. Again, we can all sort
of check into it once in a while and
just see what everybody else is seeing
and how we compare. Maybe.
>> Yes, I agree. It's very interesting
information as are the um audited
financial statements once they're all
completed by municipality too. It is
interesting to go to the individual
municipalities website and read their
statements too. Totally. Um, if there
are no further questions, then resolve
that report finance 26-17
on our 2025 development charge reserve
fund statements report dated May 28th,
2026 be received and that the
treasurer's annual statement of
development reserve funds for 2025 be
publicly available on the town's website
and upon request. All those in favor by
show of hands, please. Member Deare
>> has voted as well. Thank you. And that
motion is carried.
Very last um item on our agenda is 8.4.
And if I could have a mover and a
seconder to get report finance 26-18 on
our key performance indicators on the
floor for discussion. Member Scandinavo
has so moved and councelor How has put
up both hands. Thank you.
and we'll turn it over to Mr. Delbonica.
>> Thank you. Um, so I've prepared some
slides to help explain the report and
help you digest it a little better
hopefully. If not, call that up please.
>> Okay, great. Thank you. Um, so yeah,
this is the um the kind of report that I
think we can build on as time goes by
and use it to see if we're making
progress or falling behind in certain
areas. And um the written report has uh
three appendices. So I'll start with
appendix A. Next slide, please.
So appendix A is based on data that is
compiled and provided to us by the
Ministry of Municipal Affairs and
Housing. Um this is based on 2024 data
and contains comparators with other
southern Ontario lower tier
municipalities such as ourselves. Uh
they break these indicators into two
categories, sustainability and
flexibility
and we score in the lowrisk range in all
these indicators.
The first indicator at the top of the
table there relates to our taxes
receivable.
Our outstanding taxes receivable were
5.2% in 2024, which was better than the
median for southern Ontario
municipalities, which was at 7.8.
And we recently brought a report to
committee showing our 2025 figure, which
rose slightly to 5.4%.
But still well below our comparators.
The next line there, the net financial
assets, that's a ratio of financial
assets versus financial liabilities. So
the higher number the better. We are at
153% which is a good indicator uh better
than the comparator average which was
72.7%.
As for uh total reserves as a percent of
municipal expenses, this is a measure of
how much money has been set aside for
future needs and contingencies. Our
measure is 117.9%
versus our peers at 64.7%.
So this is a good sign although it isn't
my favorite metric um because it doesn't
consider the purpose of the reserves. We
know that asset management reserves are
meant to cover future capital costs not
day-to-day expenses.
Uh the last one there, the cash ratio
measures cash and cash equivalents as a
percent of current liabilities
and it shows how easily we can cover our
upcoming obligations. Our score is 191%
which shows we have enough cash and cash
equivalents to cover our near-term
liabilities almost twice over. The
median and average were very different
for this measure. The median was 153%.
Uh the average was actually 205%.
But either way, we're above median and
just about at the average of our
comparators.
Next slide, please.
So this is the flexibility indicators.
Uh debt service as a percent of total
revenues that indicates how much of each
dollar raised in revenue is spent on
paying down existing debt. A result
below 5% is considered low risk by the
MMAH and at 1.1%
we remain well within the low risk range
and below our comparator levels at 2.2%.
Now this measure is expected to increase
slightly as Peach King Center debt is
issued in 2026
but we're still going to remain within
the low risk range.
The next one there, the closing
amortization balance as a percent of
total cost of capital assets. uh that
indicates how much of our assets life
expectancy has been consumed at 33.4%.
This indicates that our assets still
have about 2/3 of their useful life left
on average. Uh this metric has been
trending up lately and that's consistent
with what we'd expect given the catch-up
required on the asset management front.
The last one there, annual surplus as a
percent of own source revenues. This
indicator reflects the municipality's
ability to cover operating costs and
generate funds for other purposes such
as reserves and debt repayment. Results
above zero were generally considered low
risk. At 17.7% in 2024, we remained in
the lowrisk range and were slightly
below the median of 20.8.
This also isn't one of my favorite
metrics because um the reason is is that
it can vary widely from year to year. Um
but it is a good measure to use for
trends and see if you know if we were to
start seeing operating deficits year
after year that would be something that
obviously would need to be addressed.
Next slide.
So moving on to appendix B. The
following information is taken from a
consultant report that Ford Erie
commissioned related to their asset
management plan. And the next several
slides are taken from appendix B of that
report. and I thought it would be
relevant to share given the asset
management discussions we've been
having. Um, and the consultant did
concede that that this information isn't
the easiest data to obtain and um may
not be entirely comparable apples to
apples across municipalities, but I can
confirm that our numbers as presented
here by the consultant are accurate.
So our asset management contribution
level relative to the replacement value
for our tax supported assets are shown
here on the slide. Uh this graph shows
the relative level of contributions to
reserves for asset management purposes
for um again for tax supported assets.
So we're putting away 31% of our asset
value each year which puts us on the
lower end of the spectrum compared to
others in the region.
When we factor in senior government
funding, our contribution rate increases
to 0.52%.
But that's still about halfway short of
where we estimate we need to be to be
sustainable long term, which is um 1.2%
of our asset value or approximately $9.1
million per year in contributions to
reserves.
Next slide.
This provides an alternate way of
looking at our asset management
contributions. It shows how much of our
tax levy is going towards asset
management based on current levels of
senior government support. Annual town
contributions to reserves of
approximately 33% of the net levy or 6.6
million in dollar terms would be
sustainable for us long term. Right now
we're at 12%.
Next slide.
We do compare more favorably when it
comes to water and wastewater asset
management contributions. We are saving
into reserves
83% of our asset values each year, which
is very close to our sustainable level,
which we estimate to be 1% or $4.8
million per year in dollar terms.
Next slide, please.
And appendix B ends with a look at
municipal debt levels across the region.
We are on the lower end which indicates
that we have more ability to take on
debt compared to our regional neighbors.
Given the relatively low contribution
level to our tax supported asset
management reserves, we may need to tap
into this debt capacity in the coming
years as we address our infrastructure
backlog.
Next slide.
So the report ends with appendix C. So
the following data these this slide and
the following slides is from a report
that's produced annually by a firm known
as BMA consulting. Uh it includes data
for over 120 Ontario municipalities that
make up almost 90% of the provincial
population.
So this first graph here relates to
household income. And you'll see that
Grimby's household income of 145,000
is not only second highest in the
region, but also higher than average
when compared to other Ontario lower
tier municipalities that were included
in the study.
So this provides us with an indication
of our community's capacity to pay for
services and is a good sign of the
overall strength of the local economy.
Next slide.
When it comes to residential tax rates,
Ginsby has the second lowest tax rates
in the region at 1.15%.
Now, what this refers to is the combined
municipal tax rate, town plus region,
but excluding education.
So, for every $100,000 of property
assessment, residents pay 1.15% or
$1,150
in municipal taxes.
That puts us right about at the
provincial average.
Um, and for some additional context,
only 34 of that 1.15%
relates to town taxes that we have
control over. The other 8.1 relates to
regional taxes.
Next slide.
On the industrial side of things, we're
also second lowest in the region with a
3% industrial tax rate. However, we are
higher than industrial rates across the
province, as are all other Niagara
region municipalities. And again, of the
3%, uh the town tax rate makes up only
89 of that.
Next slide.
Looking at our assessment base, 89% of
our assessment is residential with 8%
being commercial and 1% industrial. Only
2% is considered farmland.
Next slide.
By comparison, across the region,
assessment is very similar in terms of
commercial and industrial. 8% commercial
and 2% industrial across the region.
Where things differ is residential and
farmland across the region. Residential
makes up only 82% because farmland makes
up a larger portion of the assessment at
6%.
Next slide.
If we were to zoom out even further
across the province as a whole, again,
industrial and commercial remain at
those 8% and 2% levels, but with
farmland making up 11% of the
assessment. residential becomes smaller
and at um only at 77% I know it's hard
to read there but at 77% of the
assessment.
So that's that's my last slide here. Um
just to conclude as I said I I think
this is something we can continue to
build on over time and see if we're
making progress and where we're falling
back in certain areas. But I think it's
a very positive sign and many good
indicators that uh show Grimby in a very
good light. Thank you.
>> Committee members, any questions?
Councelor How? Go ahead.
>> Um through your chair, can we get this
emailed to us or something in a package?
Praphs much easier for me to understand
than words.
>> Yes, sir.
>> I'm going to say, would you like it hard
copy printed? That's the only way you'll
get color.
>> Large print.
>> In large print.
>> Any other questions from committee
members?
Members Candonava, go ahead.
>> Maybe just a comment. That was
excellent. Thanks for the slide deck. Uh
made it a lot easier to digest. Um,
again, we we we always bubble up and
bump around and talk about the fact that
we're not contributing enough to
reserves to replace our capital assets.
Um,
I guess the challenge with making it a
priority is that replacing capital
assets is generally something that help
happens over
um decades rather than, you know, within
a year. So, uh, it's good to see that we
keep putting it on the forefront of
issues so that it's not forgotten.
Um and and earlier on when we were
speaking about our investment our
investment policy statement sort of what
I was referring to is that if there's a
potential to um
if if if there's a potential to um
broaden the scope of what we're able to
invest in over longer time horizons.
Perhaps that's an opportunity to use
returns on funds that are otherwise
sitting idle to help bridge that gap
rather than via tax levy. But uh again,
that was a great report, great visual
representation of of that and also there
was many positives taken away from it.
So thank you very much.
>> Any further questions or comments?
>> I have one.
>> Go ahead. Hambridge mayor.
>> Uh yes, this is an excellent report. Uh
it's moving us to sort of like giving us
a a report card uh for the various
municipalities in the region. Um that we
all can use to s check our progress in
moving into a more positive situation
for the taxpayers.
um but also gives uh the region I would
think something to look at as well to
see okay who's doing what and what the
effect their tax increases are affecting
the mun uh the municipalities below
them. So, I think this is a great start
to give us the uh the idea of a report
card on annual basis to see where where
we're going. And obviously the the uh
consultant that was doing this for for
for had access to the information
somewhere. So, he's he's pulled that
information together. So, this is great
to have data going out to everybody to
look at it and compare each other. So,
again, great board and thanks for that.
Thank you, member de Mayare. For those
who are interested, if you go to the
region of Niagara website, and I just
quickly went there, and you look under
government and budget taxes, there is a
place there to calculate your property
taxes. And you put in your city or town,
you put in your assessed value, and it
actually comes up with a calculation.
A number of months ago, I went in and
ran this report for um 2025
for um a number of municipalities in the
Niagara region. And um I can truly say
that um this calculator is accurate
almost to the penny because it matched
my property tax bill that accurately.
And um so to start with very reliable
calculator but secondly it was really
interesting to put in the various
municipalities with that same assessment
that I was looking up which was my own
home and then to see and I can say that
you know what I saw printed here is
mirrored in the report Mr. Del Monaco
put together that Niagara on the Lake um
for example has were sort of comparable
to. Um and I was absolutely
astonished when I put in some of the
other municipalities who have big
commercial and industrial um assessment
bases but how high the property taxes
were. um really really I I I would
that's all I can say I was absolutely
astonished by the size of the number of
what the property taxes would be. So um
just something if you're curious to see
exactly what your home would be and what
your property taxes would be if you were
in other municipalities. Um feel free to
uh run your own calculations here.
I think the um
yeah I I have to say you know when we um
start doing comparators like this it is
so interesting to see those numbers
proved out and so um thank you very much
for doing that. Um I I guess I always
then say and and some of you are used to
this. It's like okay what next? What
next steps? Right. Um and one of the
things that um I'd like to put on the
table for and ask for my fellow
committee members thoughts are is these
KPIs are done at a very high level by
municipality and comparing to other
municipalities. But I believe there are
KPIs even through the FIR returns and so
on. um that dive into things in a deeper
basis, things like um public works and
community services and so on. And um
and so I guess my question is, you know,
would that be useful information either
that the departments themselves need or
ultimately that this committee may
ultimately need? and and I'm really
talking about the future because we only
have one committee meeting left and
that's in June. But interested in
everybody's thoughts about, you know,
KPIs, more detailed KPIs and, you know,
how we can use them to improve the
municipality. So, I'll put that on the
floor.
Um, I I've never thought of having
comparable data as a bad thing, right?
It's it's it's always great to benchmark
yourselves against others that um are in
a same or similar situation, you know?
Uh so I I would, you know, again,
provided that it's not a massive lift to
uh to provide some of this data, I think
it would be great. I honestly do. I I
can't see a reason why we shouldn't be
benchmarking ourselves in as many
categories as possible or reasonable to
do so.
>> Other committee members thoughts?
>> I think it's a great good idea to
benchmark ourselves against other
municipalities. It's also a good idea to
benchmark ourselves against the region
because that's a big hunk of our tax
dollars to see what we can find out
about what they're doing and how they're
doing how they're doing it. So, I don't
know if that's possible. I don't know if
that information is available.
But if we start down the road of of
checking uh other municipalities,
we should also check the region to see
where we are, where we can improve and
where they need to improve. So, we have
some actual the hard datas to go to them
and say stop doing this and do more of
this. So that's I think was the future
is getting everybody in the same boat as
it were and sort of moving in the same
direction. So I think this is a good
start from that point of view. Thanks
>> member Dearra. I will um although I will
by and large echo those thoughts um
upper tier municipalities
sometimes
um offer similar services to what we do
um and I'll say things like roads you
know they have winter control of roads
they um um but then when it comes to
things like water and wastewater they
are the the water treatment plant they
are the I'll say the wholesaler and we
the retailers. So, we start comparing
things and and it and we're not really
offering the exact same service, right?
Whereas with the lower tier
municipalities,
most of us are offering those very same
services. Um so that you know, Lincoln
and Pelum and you know, they all have um
the exact same services that we offer.
So, it becomes um more useful
information to compare to them. um it
becomes a little harder when we go to
the region. They're the ones offering um
long-term care homes and they're in
charge of our um you know uh I'll say
social services like welfare and on and
on and so it becomes a little harder to
actually um make those KPIs comparable.
I'm sure if there's um on on a high
level obviously they have things like
debt, they have uh reserves and so on
and so forth and so it is um at a very
high level it is possible to compare to
them but I don't know once we get into
the nitty-gritty details how how
comparable they would or how useful that
information would really be but um but
certainly some of their information
would be very very interesting to
compare to as well. Um
just to um just a couple observations as
we were getting into the report because
of course I was reading it um earlier as
well and um the city of Thorald often
comes up and often comes up you know as
doing even better than we um we are in
terms of their statistics and it's my
understanding that they have no
financial debt no debt at all um and
therefore they have no u uh principal
and interest payments on debt like we
do. Um, a very long time ago, I believe
they sold their locallyowned hydro. They
took that money and invested it into a
community um, hub, which I will say
would be comparable to our Peach King
Center as what we just did. And that was
how they invested the proceeds from
that. Um so just some when when you
start to look at some of these
municipalities you actually um kind of
have to know a bit of the history of how
they ended up there and why they are
there. Um but it is really interesting
to follow that um some of those
municipalities um Tony had mentioned it
um earlier have a significant amount of
farmland within their within their
geographical boundaries and farmland
pays a tax rate that's about a quarter
of what the residential rate is. So um
lovely as the farmland is essential as
it is it doesn't help pay the bills very
far if you're a municipality. um you
know you're better off to have
industrial and commercial or a lot or a
lot of residential. So each of the the
municipalities in our chart and each of
our comparators is unique unique in its
own way either because of its geography
or um you know things that have happened
in the past and the choices that they
make. But it is still really interesting
information to be able to compare to all
our neighbors for sure.
One last call. Any questions from the
committee members or comments?
If not, then the motion on the floor is
resolved that report finance 26-18
key performance indicators dated May
28th, 2026 be received for information.
All in favor, please.
And that is carried. Thank you. Item
nine on our agenda is correspondence,
and we have none this evening. the next
meeting of our finance committee
scheduled for June 25th at 6 PM and all
of you will be hearing from our clerk
prior to that as a reminder that um he
will be looking for comments from each
of you. I know I have the whip out on
your behalf, Noah. Looking for comments
from all of you uh for a final report
on, you know, I'll call it I won't call
it the good and the bad and the ugly.
That's not what it's meant to be. It's
meant to be about the positives of
things we accomplished and uh future
opportunities for the role that finance
plays in all of this. So, um uh Noah had
our clerk has promised me he's going to
send out reminders and so uh you will be
hearing from him uh by June 15th. We'd
like your feedback and in order to put
the report together for June 25th and
you'll see the the draft of the report
and be able to uh comment at that time.
If we have no other new business, then
our meeting is adjourned. Thank you.